In acknowledgment of the global concern and the need for concerted efforts to combat climate change, the Royal Government of Bhutan, pledged to remain carbon neutral at COP15 of UN Framework Convention on Climate Change. This commitment was further reiterated at the time submitting its Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) to the Paris Agreement in 2015. At that time, Bhutan’s greenhouse gas emissions (including forest emissions) was estimated at 3.8 million tons of CO2. Through its consistent efforts on sustainably forest management and environmental conservation, Bhutan has always maintained over 70% of its area under forest cover. Carbon sequestration by its forests in 2015 was estimated at 9.4 million tons of CO2 resulting in net negative emissions of 5.6 million tons of CO2. Of the total carbon emission of 3.8 million tons, more than 50% was attributed to Agriculture, Forestry and other Land use, around one-fifth (20.9%) from Industrial processes, nearly 20% from the Energy and the remaining 3 percent was attributed to waste and waste related products (See Figure 1 below)

Figure 1.1 Proportion of GHG emission by different sectors in percent, 2015.

The Kingdom of Bhutan’s second Nationally Determined Contribution of 5th June 2021 outlines the following sector wise mitigation measures for carbon emission reductions:

Agricultural, Forestry and Other Land Use: With 50% of the country’s GHG emissions attributed to this sector, the proposed mitigation measures are as follows:

  • Switching from synthetic to organic fertilizers

  • Improving agricultural practices

  • Increasing biomass through increased perennial crop production

  • Reduction of continuous rice flooding

  • Improving dairy cattle production through breed improvement and feeding management

  • Rolling out the solar PV systems on buildings

  • Replacement of LPG and firewood with electricity, etc.

Industries: Although the industrial sector contributes to over 20% of the country’s carbon emissions, appropriate mitigation measures need to implemented to prevent further increase in emissions. One of the main mitigation measures proposed for this sector is to replace fossil fuels with renewable sources of energy. Further, in order to stimulate economic growth, foster private sector development, and generate employment, fiscal incentives in the form of direct and indirect tax incentives were provided under the Fiscal Incentives Act of Bhutan 2017. Industries adopting modern environmentally friendly technologies are incentivized with tax rebates while tax exemptions are provided to entities promoting hydroelectricity, solar, wind, biogas and other renewable energy sources.

Energy Sector: Enhanced clean energy production continues to be an option for averting GHG emitting enterprises and businesses. Continued emphasis on production of renewable energy remains a major avenue for achievement of carbon neutral status. Bhutan generated 11,370.80 MU electricity in 2020. With four hydropower projects due for commissioning before 2030 i.e., Punatsangchuu-I (1200MW), Punatsangchhu-II (1020MW), Kholongchhu (600MW) and Nikachhu (118MW) hydroelectric projects (HEP, one can expect much of the energy to go into offsetting carbon emissions outside as well as inside the country.

With an aim to reduce the dependency of rural residents on firewood, the pursuit of alternative renewable energy program consisting of mini hydro, solar, wind and waste-to-energy technologies have been identified as priority programs. Further, in line with this policy, the Royal Government of Bhutan recently launched the 180kW grid-tied ground mounted Solar Photo-Voltaic Power Plant in Bumthang district. As it is, there is observed reduction in usage of firewood over the years owing to increased availability of clean hydroelectricity for both lighting and cooking purposes. As per the series Bhutan Living Standard Surveys (BLSS), the proportion of households using electricity for the cooking purpose has increased by almost three time in ten years from 2007 to 2017. Whereas the proportion of households using fuel wood has decreased by almost half in the same period (see Figure 2).

Figure 2: Proportion of Households using Electricity and Fuel wood for Cooking Purposes 2007, 2012 and 2017.

Note: Cases where total proportion exceeds 100 percent is explained by households having reported use of multiple sources of energy for cooking.

Transport sector, on the other hand is a major contributor of contributing emissions from burning of fossil fuels. As per the Annual Info-Comm and Transport Statistics Bulletin (12th Edition, 2021), the number of motor vehicles is increasing every year. During the period 2010 to 2020, the number of vehicles has more than doubled from 53,382 to 112,058 accounting for an average 8 percent increase per year (see Figure 3).

Figure 3: Total Number of Vehicles from 2010-2020

Source: Ministry of Information and Communication

Therefore, the following mitigation measures have been proposed to reduce the emissions from the transport sector

  • Mass transit though improvements in bus systems and the introduction of open-bus rapid transit (BRT) network (electric and diesel) and light rail transit.

  • Promotion of electric passenger vehicles (taxi, two wheelers, light vehicles, buses)

  • Low emission freight transport system for heavy and commercial trucks and freight trains

  • Improve fuel-efficiency in internal combustion engines through stringent vehicle and emission standards.

Accordingly, there was observed increase in the import of Electric Vehicle in the country. The recorded number of Electric vehicle has increased to 133 numbers in 2020 against the 94 in 2017 as per Annual Info-Comm and Transport Statistics Bulletin.

Waste management: Emissions from improper disposal and management of landfill sites has been identified as another potential area for carbon emission reduction. With rapid economic diversification and growth in population, the associated increase in generation of waste contributes to almost 4 percent of total national emissions. The Royal Government of Bhutan, under the National Waste Management Strategy 2019, and the Waste Management and Stray Dog Population Control Flagship Program has set the goal of revering the current trend of disposing over 80% to the landfill to less than 20% by the year 2030. Measures proposed under the Flagship program include:

  • Introduce colour-coded waste bins for all households.

  • Ensure end-to-end reduction of waste.

  • Private sector partnership in recycling and converting waste into profit.

In pursuit of its pledge to remain carbon neutral, Bhutan has consistently endeavored to put in place the policies and programmes necessary to maintaining the country on the path to carbon neutral economy. Progress made on implementing climate actions since the ratification of the Paris Agreement may be tracked in terms of the following:

Integration of climate change concerns into development planning

The 12th FYP has a National Key Result Area (NKRA) dedicated to addressing climate priorities of the country. The 6th NKRA “Climate Neutrality, Climate and Disaster Resilience” translates the priority areas for mitigation and adaptation identified in the NDC into programs for implementation across different sectors at the national and local levels. Among other climate and climate related projects, the following projects are being undertaken:

  1. The third NAPA project ‘Enhancing Sustainability and Climate Resilience of Forest and Agricultural Landscape and Community Livelihoods in Bhutan’ funded by the LDC Fund

  2. Bhutan for Life’ pertaining to managing the network of Protected Areas in Bhutan funded by Green Climate Fund (GCF).

  3. Supporting Climate Resilience and Transformational Change in the Agriculture Sector in Bhutan”, also funded by GCF seeks to addresses the adverse impacts of climate change on rural livelihood security and poverty, and the effects of sector-led development practices on the ecological integrity of biodiversity-rich forested landscapes.

  4. Local Climate Adaptative Living Facility (LoCAL)’ with funding from UNCDF and the EU focuses on mainstreaming climate adaptation into local development.

  5. Formulation of a National Adaptation Plan (NAP) and establishing and strengthening of the supporting elements for the NAP process funded by GCF under its NAP readiness support.

  6. Preparation of the Long Term Low GHG Emission and Climate Resilient Development Strategy (LTS)- aimed at formulating overall direction and guidance for Bhutan in the long-term efforts for remaining carbon neutral.

  7. Direct access modalities for climate finance: Accreditation of the Bhutan Trust Fund for Environmental Conservation (BTFEC) as National Implementing Entity to both the GCF and the Adaptation Fund. In addition, Bhutan is pursuing access for the private sector with three financial institutions (Bhutan Development Bank Ltd, Bank of Bhutan Ltd and the Bhutan National Bank Ltd) undergoing the accreditation process for access to the Private Sector Facility of the GCF.

Policy initiatives

The Constitution of the Kingdom of Bhutan sets the nation’s priorities for sustainability through preservation of the environment and sustainable use of natural resources. For this, the constitution mandates that the Kingdom of Bhutan will maintain a minimum of 60 percent of total land under forest cover for all time. Under this overarching mandate, there are ongoing effort to put in place climate friendly policies. Some of the prominent policies that the Royal Government has put in place since its ratification of the Paris agreement are listed below:

Climate change policy, 2020: The Climate Change Policy of the Kingdom of Bhutan was adopted in 2020. The policy envisions “a prosperous, resilient and carbon neutral Bhutan where the pursuit of gross national happiness for the present and future generations is secure under a changing climate.” The policy aims to i) provide strategic guidance in maintaining a carbon neutral economy, ii) foster coordinated and coherent stakeholder participation in climate actions, iii) address climate change related challenges and opportunities at all levels by integrating climate change into relevant policies through adequate means of implementation i.e., finance, technology, and capacity building.

The Kigali Amendments to the Montreal Protocol on Ozone Depleting Substances ratified: Bhutan ratified the Kigali Amendments to the Montreal Protocol on Ozone Depleting Substances in 2019. In addition to the system for licensing the import and export of HFCs that is already in place, the Regulations on Control of ODS 2008 are being amended.

Fiscal Incentives: Following the Economic Development Policy 2016, fiscal incentives were provided for environmentally friendly technologies and equipment; Waste management and recycling industries were provided income tax holidays and exemption of sales tax and custom duties on plant and machinery related to waste management and recycling industries

  1. Following the Economic Development Policy 2016, fiscal incentives were provided in the form of direct and indirect tax incentives under the Fiscal Incentives Act of Bhutan 2017 to stimulate economic growth, foster private sector development, and generate employment. Incentives included tax rebates to industries adopting modern environmentally friendly technologies, tax exemptions to hydroelectric projects, solar, wind, biogas and other renewable energy plants and machineries. Energy efficient and environment friendly equipment were also exempted from import duties for targeted sectors such as hotels. Waste management and recycling industries were provided income tax holidays and exemption of sales tax and custom duties on plant and machinery.

  2. The National Energy Efficiency & Conservation Policy covering the sectors of buildings, transport and industry were launched in 2019. The policy aims to facilitate improvements in productivity and energy efficiency while contributing to Bhutan’s efforts to remain carbon neutral. Further the Renewables Readiness Assessment (RRA) has been developed in cooperation with International Renewable Energy Agency with a view to complement the country’s efforts in enabling the wider penetration of various renewable energy technologies.

  3. The Sustainable Hydropower Development Policy (SHDP) 2021 enhances the previous hydropower policy by integrating climate resilience and mitigation among other updates. As current run-of-river hydropower schemes in Bhutan have become increasingly vulnerable to decreasing water flows in the dry season the SHDP emphasises adaptation measures such as reservoir/pumped storage schemes. In addition, the new policy mandates hydropower value chain through ventures in energy storage technologies such as hydrogen fuel, green ammonia, and other emerging technologies. These energy storage and diversification measures for adaptation also contribute directly to Bhutan’s carbon neutral efforts by providing clean energy for zero carbon transport and mobility.

Low Emission Development strategies, plans, and Roadmaps

To implement the priority programs in the NDC, several Low Emission Development Strategies (LEDS) and roadmaps have been developed to prioritise mitigation actions in key sectors of Agriculture, Human Settlement, Industry and Transport. The LEDS developed so far include a) Forest conservation and management under the National REDD+ Strategy, b) Low Emission Development Strategy for Food security, c) Low Emission Development Strategy for Human Settlement, d) Low Emission Development Strategy for Industries, e) Low Emission Development Strategy for Surface Transport, f) Waste Management, g) Sustainable Hydropower Development, h) Alternative Renewable Energy, i) Green Hydrogen Roadmap., j) Energy Efficiency Roadmap 2019. These LEDS will guide the concerned sectors to integrate low carbon measures into development priorities.

In addition, other climate related strategies and roadmaps have also been developed. They are:

  1. National Environment Strategy Strategy 2020, which is the updated version of the National Environment Strategy of 1998. The strategy integrates new and emerging national environmental challenges and the critical global challenge of climate change and outlines strategic measures to managing land, air, water, and biodiversity with climate change as a cross cutting issue.

  2. The Renewable Energy Master Plan (2017-2032) was adopted as a strategy for the long-term implementation of renewable energy technologies. This master plan identified 39,462 MW of technically feasible small hydropower, solar and wind projects across the country. These renewable energy technologies provide a basis for both clean energy generation for mitigation and as adaptation to changing water flows and the impacts on hydropower in Bhutan.

  3. The Bhutan Electric Vehicle (EV) Roadmap (2020-2025) promulgates gradual transition to zero emission by 2035, 2045 and 2050. Part of this strategy is already being implemented in the form of the project ‘The Bhutan Sustainable Low- emission Urban Transport System’ which targets taxis for EV mobility.

  4. The National Waste Management Strategy, which was adopted in 2019, seeks to address emission from landfill sites by reversing the current trend of disposing over 80% of solid waste to the landfill to 20% by the year 2030.

  5. The Renewable Natural Resources (RNR) Strategy 2040, covering the forests, agriculture, and livestock sectors, was adopted in 2021 and covers the AFOLU sector under the IPCC emissions source category. The RNR Strategy integrates resilience to climate change and low emission development supplementing the REDD+ Strategy, LEDS for Food Security 2021, and the National Strategy for Sustainable Socio-economic Development.

  6. Roadmaps currently being formulated that take into account priority areas integrating climate change concerns into economic development needs are i) 21st Century Economic Roadmap which is expected to chart the direction for Bhutan’s long-term economic development and ii) the Green Finance Roadmap that will address sustainable financing mechanisms to support the priorities identified in the 21st Century Economic Roadmap.

Enhanced Coordination mechanism

Climate Change Coordination Committee (C4) instituted: The national mechanism for coordination of climate change actions has been strengthened. The erstwhile Multisectoral Technical Committee on Climate Change was revitalized into Climate Change Coordination Committee (C4). Efforts are underway to set up a ‘one stop platform’ for coordination of multi-stakeholder dialogues and implementation of climate projects in the country.

Having the policies and plans for a Carbon Neutral Economy is one thing and translating the policies and plans into action are entirely another thing. As a least developed country (LDC) with stretched financial resources that has further suffered badly from the economic and financial impacts of COVID-19 pandemic, it is even more understandable that the country’s NDCs have been proposed as subject to adequate external funding. Hence, it is reasonable to expect the country to rely on bilateral and multilateral climate funding to meet its climate commitment.

References:

RGOB, 2021. Kingdom of Bhutan: Second Nationally Determined Contributions. Royal Government of Bhutan, 5th June 2021.

MoIC, RGOB 2021. Annual Info-Comm and Transport Statistical Bulletin (12th Edition, 2021), PPD, MoIC, RGoB

National Statistics Bureau, RGOB. Bhutan Living Standard Surveys 2007, 2012, 2017. National Statistics Bureau, RGoB

The lockdowns under the COVID-19 pandemic have provided much opportunity for the time-constrained human inhabitant of mother earth to gaze at the empty streets and retrospect life under the so-called normal life – hazy streets packed with humans chasing dreams, traffic jam, thick smokes oozing out of factories, sounds of sirens, hovering helicopters and trails left behind in the sky by passing airplanes. Many have even wondered if the pandemic is Nature’s brake on speeding humanity to nowhere. Some have wondered if normal life should be different – a bit less of everything we see around ourselves. I have wondered about the amount of energy that goes into sustaining this normal human life – the generally not so clean energy that is driving climate change. Thinking about the slow pace of global efforts to combat climate change through emission reductions, switching to cleaner energy sources, one would even wonder if restrained human activity would be the ultimate solution to addressing climate change as the single-most threat to life on earth.

With the above disposition in mind, this article dwells on the subject of energy demand and consumption under restrained human activity during the COVID lock downs. In this case, we look at Bhutan in terms of its energy demand and consumption before, during, and after lockdowns.

Energy DemandAbout 40% of the country’s energy consumption today is met through electricity, mainly via hydropower plants. Other energy demand is met mostly through fuelwood (traditional biomass), which adds to pressure on the environment, and imported fossil fuels. With rapid economic growth, urbanization and growth in the population, the demand for clean energy is increasing every year.As per the series of Bhutan Living Standard Surveys (BLSS) conducted by National Statistics Bureau, there was rapid increase in the demand/usage of clean energy mainly electricity by both urban and rural households. The BLSS is nation-wide household survey conducted every after 5 years. The change in trend is shown in the table 1.1.

Table 1.1: Proportion of Households using Different Sources of Energy for Lighting and Cooking 2007, 2012 and 2017

Note: For 2012 and 2017 BLSS, the households were asked to report two main sources of energy used for cooking, thus, the total percentage may be more than 100 since most households use multiple sources of energy for cooking.

Energy Production Energy production is defined as the total amount of primary energy produced in the Bhutanese economy measured before consumption and transformation. Domestic energy production in Bhutan includes renewable energies, hydroelectricity and coal. The domestic energy production has increased in 2020 to little more than 1000 KToE from 903 KToE in 2019. The increase in energy production was mainly due to the full commissioning of 720 MW Mangdechhu hydro power plant which started commission in June 2019. The production of renewable energy is further expected to increase in Bhutan with commissioning of 180 KW (installed capacity) solar energy in October 2021 and upcoming hydropower plants.Bhutan imports various energy products, such as fossil fuel (diesel & petrol), aviation turbine fuel, kerosene, furnace oil and LPG. In 2020, Bhutan imported nearly 140 KToE of fossil fuel energy without including electricity and coal. Bhutan mainly exports hydro-electricity and coal to rest of the world (RoW) where Hydro-electricity remains major export with almost 85-97% of the total energy export.

Energy ConsumptionEnergy consumption measures the amount of energy used in the Bhutanese economy. It is equal to indigenous production plus imports minus exports (and changes in stocks). It includes energy consumed in energy conversion activities (such as electricity generation). Although, the domestic energy production has increased by little more than 100 KToE from 2019 to 2020, there was drop in the energy consumption. The overall import of energy decreased by almost 36% in 2020 compared to 2019. The Diesel and Petrol is most widely imported fossil fuels in the country as there is no domestic production. These fossil fuels are mostly used in Transport Sector.

Fossil FuelsThe import of fossil fuel has dropped drastically in 2020. The import of Diesel has dropped by more than 30 percent in 2020 compared to 2019. In absolute term, Bhutan imported only 109.0 thousand Kiloliters of Diesel in 2020 which is least in last five years (2016-2020). Similarly, the import of Petrol has also dropped by almost 30 percent in 2020 compared to 2019. The trend for import of Diesel and Petrol is shown in the figure 1.1.The reason for drop is mainly because of the Covid pandemic. The first Covid case in the country was detected in March 2020. After detection of first Covid cases, there were two nation-wide lockdowns, first one in August and September 2020 and second one in December 2020 and January 2021. There were several lockdowns happened in border towns of Bhutan which has huge impact on the Economic Activities in the country. There was direct effect on Transport sector as the border for tourism remained closed due to Covid pandemic. Most of the industries also remained shut down.

The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate has decreased by 10.08 percent in 2020. The drop-in GDP growth rate is mainly contributed by secondary sector (Industry sector) and Tertiary sector (Service sector) with drop of 5.04 and 5.50 percent respectively. There was slight increase in primary sector (Agricultural sector) with 0.47 percent. (National Accounts Statistics 2021, NSB).

Figure 1.1: Import of Fossil Fuels (Diesel and Petrol) in thousand KL and import growth rate in percent 2016-2020

Electricity ConsumptionThe Per capita electricity in the country decreased by almost 15 percent in 2020 compared to 2019 from 3162 KWh to 2708 KWh. While the production of electricity has increased by more than 30 percent from 8647.09 MU in 2019 to 11,370.84 Mu in 2020. The primary and secondary sectors (Industry and Service sectors) are affected more by the Covid pandemic in Bhutan. The electricity consumption by the commercial and industrial sector decreased by more than 300 GWh in 2020 compared to 2019. As shown in the Figure 1.2, in recent last four years, the electricity consumption by the commercial and industrial sector is lowest in 2020. However, there is slight increase in the consumption of electricity by the households.

Figure 1.2: Electricity consumption by Commercial and Industrial sector in GWh, 2017-2020

Monthly Electricity Consumption for 2019 and 2020 Observing the monthly electricity consumption for 2019 and 2020 (Covid-pandemic period), there is no much difference in the electricity consumption for Households and Agriculture sector. However, there is observed significant difference in the electricity consumption for commercial and industrial sector and temporary connections (construction sector). There is huge drop in the consumption of electricity in 2020 compared to 2019. This could be mainly because of covid pandemic as the first covid case in Bhutan is detected in March 2020.

As presented in the figure 1.3, comparing month on month consumption, there is little increase in the electricity consumption in February and March 2020 compared to 2019, however, it started dropping from April onwards in 2020. The highest difference is observed in November 2020. There was 35 percent decrease in the electricity consumption in November 2020 compared to November 2019. In August and September 2020 (First Lockdown period), the consumption has dropped by more than 20 percent compared to the same months in 2019.A similar trend is also observed for the temporary connections that are usually found at the construction and mining sites. It indicates that the covid-pandemic has reduced the construction activities in the country. This could be due to banning the import of construction workers and closure of border gates effecting the import of construction materials.

Figure 1.3 Monthly Electricity Consumption in GWh by Commercial and Industrial Sectors, 2019 & 2020.

Figure1.4 Monthly Electricity Consumption in GWh for Temporary Connections, 2019 & 2020

From the above, the lockdowns under the COVID pandemic have perfectly demonstrated restrained human activity as one option to explore for reduction in energy demand and consumption. While this example is for a small national with low population with significant proportion of energy consumption coming from renewable sources, one can imagine the extent of cumulative emission reduction that would have occurred from retrained human activity under lockdowns worldwide. This situation of forced emission reduction paves the way for thinking out of the box to innovate development pathways that address human activity to optimize energy consumption.